Home buyers could be delivered a financial windfall just in time for Christmas as markets and economists grow increasingly confident the Reserve Bank will deliver a string of interest rate cuts to protect the economy.
Softer-than-expected growth figures, ongoing signs that inflationary pressures are moderating, and concern over the impact of US President Donald Trump’s tariff war have sharply lifted market expectations of a rate cut when the RBA next meets in early七月。
Home buyers could have hundreds of dollars extra in their pockets in time for Christmas, amid growing expectations of a string of interest rate cuts.Credit: Eddie Jim
Markets, which have proven more accurate than economists在预期澳洲联储对利率设置的变化时，本周开始了7月四分之一级的四分之一四分之一的机会。到本周末，期望为95％。
在今年剩余时间里，市场和许多经济学家认为，该银行将使官方现金利率从3.85％下降到3.1％，至3.1％。
自2月以来，该储备自2月以来的两次削减量将在12月的12月省钱，每月支付了2000美元的股票，
市场对未来降低税率的期望的转变是由储备银行最近的董事会的最新董事会的几分钟驱动的，这表明，在5月份的董事会会议上，它认真考虑了一半百分点的点数降低的一半百分点，而最初的经济却是少数经济。
家庭支出占所有经济活动的一半，在本季度增加了0.4％。但是这些数字证实了许多消费者面临的挣扎，尤其是那些面临更高抵押贷款的消费者。
在过去的12个月中，消费者支出仅增加了0.7％。
在服装和鞋类上的支出增长最快，增长了最快，增长了3.2％，增长了3.2％，紧随保险和金融服务，增长了3.1％，增长了3.1％。 However, consumers spent twice as much on insurance and financial services, at $26 billion, in the March quarter than on clothing.
Households sliced spending on new cars and driving those vehicles, expenditure on food grew by just 0.4 per cent, while eating out at restaurants or takeaways lifted by a modest 0.3 per cent.
AMP deputy chief economist Diana Mousina said the figures, on top of the一般的经济前景，意味着储备银行必须考虑更多的利率减免。她说。
一个担心。他说，
他说，二月和可能的削减速度除了预期的进一步减免，还为价格推动了一定的推动力。电梯很明显，市场似乎正在追踪缓慢而浅的转弯。那可能会改变。我们对Housing著名的利率敏感性保持警惕。 There is also evidence of substantial ‘pent-up’ or delayed activity.”
Not everyone is convinced the bank will deliver another cut in July.
ANZ’s head of Australian economics, Adam Boyton, noted that the national accounts showed household finances were now improving rapidly, which meant the RBA could hold fire on further interest rate relief.
Loading“Household incomes are now showing robust growth, with the level实际收入恢复了前循环趋势。鉴于收入增长的实力，我们认为利率方面不会花更多的钱来使家庭充满信心地花费更多的钱。 TD的亚太高级策略师Prashant Newnaha说。 aria-checked =“ false” aria-descredby =“ savetooltip” aria-label =“ save late trices tores late tor plod class” class =“ lyny4” cole =“ switch” type =“ button” button =“ button”> 保存 in ，<！ - > nogise <！ - >或订阅<！ - > - - - - - - - - - - >保存文章以供稍后。
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