对经济学家和商人表示歉意，但看来我们正在目睹nerds 的复仇。对于经济学家和交易者来说，这是回报时间，他们上周在储备银行降低了利率，并且似乎被裤子降低了。
他们在周四的较弱的就业数据后恢复了贫困的证书。现在是备受关注的储备银行。
澳大利亚储备银行州长米歇尔·布洛克（Michele Bullock）。信用：多米尼克·洛里默（Dominic Lorrimer）
上周的“震惊”决定保持费率稳定，使预测的集体看起来像笨蛋，虽然大多数人不会公开地说出来，但由于米歇尔·布洛克（Michele Bullock）的左场搬迁，他们被刺痛了，等待了一些更可靠的每月数据，然后再弥补了一些看起来像
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6月份的失业率为4.3％，而市场期望它将保持稳定为4.1％。 （我想你可以说经济学家也弄错了。）
这意味着澳大利亚还有34,000人失业，而工作时间却落下了 - 这都加起来了一个较软的就业市场。
失业率现在已经无法达到一个水平，因为自从Covid-19 pandlemic 3-年前3-- Advertisement The Reserve Bank was not pencilling in a rise to that level this soon and was expecting the June number to come in at 4.2 per cent. Last week while releasing its rate decision, the Reserve Bank said, “various indicators suggest that labour market conditions remain tight … and that availability of labour is still a 。 data. That said, even if their interest rate predictions reflect what the Reserve Bank should have done, their near universal misreading of how the central bank was thinking, is still a blot. With June’s labour force numbers out, now the merry dance of predicting rate movements and second-guessing the Reserve Bank begins afresh. This time economists are even more certain (although it’s statistically difficult) that the RBA will lower八月份的价格是下次他们在货币政策上开会的时候。 There are 34,000 more people unemployed in Australia, according to June labour force figures.Credit: Louie Douvis The new game is predicting whether the bank will take the plunge and decrease the interest rate by a larger 50下个月的基点。 将有足够大胆的经济学家，可以在那个肢体上走出来，但大多数人肯定会肯定要削减25个基点。 对借款人和存款人来说，更关键的问题是最终的速率，所谓的终端速率是该降低的速度 - 较低的速度。从目前的3.85％级别。 在另一端的另一端，越来越多的专家预测，到2026年的速度将降至2.85％。 达成一致的一件事是，下一个率的率是在7月份的批准委员会上， 。 。 holding. You would have to imagine that in August it will be unanimous. That’s great news for the mortgagors – because it will take the monthly pressure off paying interest or allow them to boost their offset accounts and pay down their loan more quickly. The Business Briefing newsletter delivers major stories, exclusive coverage and expert opinion. Sign up to get it every weekday早上 。 iie5g“ focusable =” false“ height =” 1em“ width =” 1em“> <使用xlink：href =”＃icon-save'> save ，<！ - > - - > - - > - > - > regission <！ - > regission <！ - > save <！ - - - for Arripcripe <！--->
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