新西兰ZT:A successful building plan will result in a 10,000home ov
在新西兰
平衡一下
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/property/news/article.cfm?c_id=8&objectid=11163240
Auckland's housing shortage is smaller than officials think and if the Housing Accord reaches its target over the next three years there could be an oversupply of 10,000 homes, says the Institute of Economic Research.
The institute argued this year that the Auckland Council's estimate of a shortage of 20,000 to 30,000 homes is too high, because it is not convinced the average number of people per household will continue to fall at the rate it has in the past and because the upsurge in net immigration represents fewer people leaving the country rather than an upsurge in immigration - a pattern that tends to support population levels in the provinces rather than swell the number of Aucklanders.
Since then the Census recorded slower population growth in Auckland than previously estimated, NZIER says in its latest quarterly predictions. At 1.2 per cent a year between 2006 and 2013 it was 0.4 percentage points weaker than expected.
NZIER estimates the shortage of housing at around 5000 homes.
"If the Housing Accord is successful in delivering 39,000 homes and sections, we estimate it will result in an oversupply of 10,000 homes. A significant increase in the housing supply, alongside the Reserve Bank's efforts to cool highly geared credit growth, is a significant risk for house prices in Auckland," NZIER principal economist Shamubeel Eaqub said.
A sharp pick-up in building activity, not only in Canterbury but in Auckland, is a key factor underpinning NZIER's forecast of 3 per cent economic growth next year - the strongest since 2007.
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平衡的沙发。。。
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很快大家就会发现其实不缺房
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buybuybuy
感谢楼主分享
说你知道的，说你明白的，说你懂的，起码是你认为是你懂的，让人自行分析，作者背景，研究方向和范围。。。。。
不知道的，不理解的，记不清的能不说就不说，别害了别人也暴露了自己
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租金是在涨啊，我的今年放租的房租金就比去年要高很多了
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我觉得自住房还是短缺的，因为很多plaster的漏水放很不好卖，买房的人也不愿意买。所以有plaster的人要么自己留着自主要么出租。所以在auckland真正的买卖的房源应该是所有的房子刨除plaster的漏水房。而租房市场，这些plaster的漏水放是可以租的，有很多townhouse只是有漏水的风险，并没有漏水，房子的居住条件很好，租金的回报也很好。
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租金高低只和房贷多少有关，和租房需求无关。真要算就算空置率