在新西兰
看空房地产的朋友们好好看一看吧，看房产有下跌的可能吗？
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The building industry needs 5000 more apprentices immediately if it is to meet demand, according to the Building and Construction Industry Training Organisation (BCITO).
This is despite a 55 per cent increase in new apprenticeship sign-ups last year to 3230, the highest number of new sign-ups in recent times.
Chief executive Ruma Karaitiana said there was still a shortage because of the Auckland and Christchurch markets.
"The building and construction industry is going through a period of rapid growth and demand, particularly in Auckland and Christchurch," he said.
"The challenge, and the reality, of the nature of work in both cities is that everything is high priority."
He said the magnitude of the projects was the reason for the high demand for apprentices.
"Building and construction is a cyclical industry. Everyone recognises that it has boom periods and it also has its quiet patches.
"Now we're seeing builders bring on more staff, which is a strong indicator that things are looking up in the building and construction industry."
Karaitiana said that apprentices entering the industry now could be confident of getting through their training and getting established. He said wages were also good, and there were a host of interesting projects to get involved in.
- © Fairfax NZ News
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看空的还是会看空
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是啊， 有些人是永远看空， 哈哈。
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听说过热门专业么？你拿这个做论点是完全偷换概念的。
你这个文章只能说明现在房价在高点因为需求过剩。
为什么现在房价高？因为新需求超过新房数。
apprentice一多，新房就多了。导致shortage减少。房价回归正常。
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没错啊， 我想说的就是现在供不应求，可供应不会一夜之间就上来吧，造个房子需要有地， 有人，去报批，组织建筑材料，等到你所说的shortage减少起码得两年以后的事了。 再说了，这期间移民又不断再进来，那这shortage减少就需要更长的时间了。
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这能说明什么？经济好转？房屋需求增长？房屋市场劳动力短缺？ 这些不能说明市场走向。。。利率，房贷银行的房贷限度，人们首付需要的钱。
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你打的所有问号我的回答都是"Yes". 利率是在上升， 但对于我这样经历过10%房贷利率的人来说， 现在的利率依然太低了， 如果想买房的人现在不抓紧， 那么就请再等4-5年后再考虑买房吧。
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我们是经过过10%的利率，但是现在买房，固定利率能固定多久？2-3年？然后呢？如果那个时候利率高达10%,你固定还是不固定？利率好，只是一种因素。其实买房，尤其是投资房，不一定是在利率低的时候买入。高的时候，有机会吗？答案是肯定的。看你怎么去根据自己的情况，买什么样的房子。
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没错， 投资房产， 对有些人而言， 永远都有机会；而对另外一些人， 永远没有机会。
利率高的时候当然也可以买投资房， 但高利率时期往往伴随着高房价， 试问到底是利率低的时候投资房产机会多还是利率高的时候机会多？
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任何时候都有机会，看你准备好了没有。