新西兰不废话，直接转
在新西兰
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那个预测涨5%的XX出来走两步
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中位价居然有88万！
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哇，全部都跌了10%
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完了~ 奥克兰房价崩盘就在眼前~2333333333
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还挺高的哩。
看来感拍卖的都是不错的房子呀
清盘率还有38%。不错。。。看看什么时候清盘率20%。
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我在之前有一篇每周的拍卖结果里写过为啥只有个人屋主/迷你/小型开发商才会通过拍卖来卖房~
其实这个市场房子一般的，哪个屋主又想浪费拍卖费呢
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哇，全部都跌了10%
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清盘率38%.
是不是就意味着62%的，浪费了拍卖费。
拍卖费一次得多钱啊
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OMG, 真的嗎?
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完了完了,马上拍卖了，要不我撤了。。。
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高价房跌不只10%，网上随便搜一下，开价低于cv 50万-80万的都有了，哈哈，之前说要捡漏的人全消失了。
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好猴急，这是一周的分析好不好。而且还是比较上周下降而已。一年有52周......这个的明白?
走两步就走两步，一二一 .......
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这是真的，好可怕，吓得我瑟瑟发抖吔，看来以后租房送搓背是基本配置了。
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还有比这个的 这么小的sample size
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确实，不过毕竟有些人的size是会小一些哈哈哈
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this is just a preview.
More to come after Overseas investment amendment bill comes in and become law.
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请问可以晒一下同比的数据吗，比去年同期下降了多少捏
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所以环比的数据其实干扰因素很大的，只有同比才有相对高的参考价值，所以楼主能晒一下本周比去年同期的数据吗。一年的区间比较才有意义。
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How much further fall do you estimate?
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houses are not identical goods, those who need to sale will face pressure.
Death
Divorce,
Debt (high)
Unemployment
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NZ and Australia was well sheltered in the GFC (2008), the declining during that period was not that much and for a short period of time and after that well supported by healthy immigration and friendly government policy and friendly lending policy.
My gut feeling is the reversing force will be big this round and could well be around 20-25% (follow by a period of stagnation (no growth) on some suburbs and some peripheral towns (2nd & 3rd tiers) once the government policy is met with Global unexpected events.
I foresee global event (crisis) will unfold itself and NZ will potentially be a casualty and will be hit hard this time as compared with the last crisis.
The crisis will make people and NZ wake up, but the damage would have been done.
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My view is similar, just hope the crisis is not so serious.
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Actually 20 to 25% is not that bad, considering what happened in US 2008.
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一周没啥意义的
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几位大神能不能含蓄点儿，俺的小心脏快跳出来了......
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如果你最近不卖房子，这个东西跟你没关系。
反正我是不准备卖，住的好好的。
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地税刚涨，那几个中介快over了
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Some decline followed by a period of No growth (depending on how long the period) is quite significant.
Between 2006- 2011, it was a hard time for some people (investors), people always talked about good time and forget about some difficult time.
Just to use one example, one person sold his house for about $1 million in 2015. Saw his ex-house listed in 2008 and he bought it back for $750K. there was fear factor dominating the market at that time ( people didn't know what would happen)
Different suburbs will perform differently. I won't be surprised more rots will come out from some overrun suburbs.