澳洲工资增长继续令人失望

在澳大利亚澳洲新闻



工资增长继续令人失望

在今年头三个月，工资增长了0.5％，年率保持在2.1％，接近二十年来的最低水平。

影子财长克里斯鲍恩称最新的工资增长数字令人失望，称他们将难以满足联邦预算中的假设。

工资价格指数 - 储备银行和财政部首选工资增长指标 - 在3月份季度仅上涨0.5％，证明比经济学家预测的温和增长0.6％更为缓和。

澳大利亚统计局的数据显示，它将年率保持在2.1％的水平，仅次于通货膨胀，接近至少二十年来的最低水平。

鲍文先生周三在堪培拉的全国新闻俱乐部表示，结果令大家失望。

“在上周公布的预算预测中，现在非常非常难达到”他在回答预算回复演讲后的一个问题时说。

尽管加薪幅度不理想，财长莫里森仍坚持他对工资增长的预测，到2019年至2030年加速至3.25％，此后再加速至3.5％，他声称这种预测已经是保守的。

但联邦银行经济学家贝琳达艾伦认为，迄今为止有限的证据表明工资增长正在接近这一点。

她说：“今天的数据表明，任何恢复到更正常工资增长的想法还有一段时间了，”她说。

“尽管过去一年有强劲的就业增长，但还没有任何流向高薪工作。”

BIS牛津经济学澳大利亚宏观经济学负责人Sarah Hunter表示，这些数据表明，在一段时间内，加剧的通胀将会迫使澳大利亚央行加息。

她告诉AAP：“澳大利亚央行一再表示，他们需要在提高利率之前看到工资和通胀已经提升到应有位置。”

她预计第一次加息将在2019年底，尽管到了2020年工资可能会有回调风险。

虽然他们可能会对其某些预测产生疑问，但整体预算和个人所得税减免比前几年要好。

Westpac墨尔本研究所每月的消费者情绪指数发现，对预算的预期，其中10％的受访者表示他们会变得更好，而58％的受访者觉得没有变化，19％的受访者表示他们会变得更糟。

Westpac首席经济学家比尔埃文斯说：“虽然平均反应还是负面的，但它已经比去年的好，也是我们自2010年以来，对于这个问题所看到的'最佳'反应。”


http://www.news.com.au/national/ ... a075381caba1d39d49c


Wages growth continues to disappoint

Wages grew by a modest 0.5 per cent in the first three months of the year, keeping the annual rate at 2.1 per cent and near the lowest in two decades.

Colin Brinsden, AAP Economics Correspondent
Australian Associated PressMAY 16, 20183:25PM

Shadow treasurer Chris Bowen has called the latest wage growth figures disappointing, saying they would make it difficult for assumptions in the federal budget to be met.

The wage price index - the Reserve Bank and Treasury's preferred measure of wages growth - rose just 0.5 per cent in the March quarter, proving even more subdued than the modest 0.6 per cent increase predicted by economists.

It left the annual rate at 2.1 per cent, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed, just ahead of inflation and close to the lowest in at least two decades.

Mr Bowen told the National Press Club in Canberra on Wednesday the result was disappointing for the country.

"It's very, very difficult now for those budget projections released just last week to be met," he said in answer to a question following his budget reply speech.

Despite the extended run of poor pay increases, Treasurer Scott Morrison has stuck to his forecast for wage growth to accelerate to 3.25 per cent by 2019/20 and 3.5 per cent thereafter, claiming such predictions are conservative.

But Commonwealth Bank economist Belinda Allen believes there is limited evidence to date to suggest that wage growth is getting close to this.

"Today's numbers suggest that any thought of a return to more normal wages growth is still some time away," she said.

"Despite strong employment growth over the past year, there has yet to be any flow through to higher wages."

BIS Oxford Economics head of macroeconomics for Australia, Sarah Hunter, said the figures suggest it will be some time before inflation builds up to force an interest rate rise by the Reserve Bank.

"The RBA has repeatedly signalled that they need to see wage and price inflation well-established before they raise rates," she told AAP.

She expects the first rate hike will be in late 2019, although the risk following the wage data could see this moved back to 2020.

While they may be questions over some of its forecasts, the budget overall, and its personal income tax cuts were better received than in previous years.

The monthly Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment found 10 per cent of respondents saying they would be better off because of the budget, while 58 per cent expected no change and 19 per cent said they would be worse off.

"While the overall balance is negative, it is less negative than last year and the 'best' response we have seen since we began running this question in 2010," Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said.

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涨工资？有工作就不错了。拉升数字的活只能等政客给自己大力加薪来解决了。

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就是，工作能保住就阿弥陀佛了

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有涨就行，多少都行

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过去10年澳洲经济停滞不前，和中国的飞速发展鲜明对比！如果没有矿业繁荣带来的积累，更不堪设想。看着国内人民生活一天比一天好，而凸凹只能卖田卖地卖资源勉强度日。政客不作为只会捞工资。

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还是要靠跳槽，20%不难

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要看行业，看基数。

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连着两年没涨过了。这年头除了政客加薪雇主没有发言权以外，其他都得看老板脸色。

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基数，不一样。处在不同的发展周期。成熟经济体增长超过3%就是很好了。中国报6.9%,实际普遍认为4%左右，现在最强的经济体是美国，没有之一

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工资如果可以像A0S那样隔夜升一倍就好了

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和其他大多数人一样，
我也失望啊

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有工作就好

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貌似很多国家都有这个问题。

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经济受益于中国不少，仅在教育、旅游这两块离了中国就是完全另外一幅样子了。大学国际学生入学人数每年都增长很多，这些留学生不仅贡献了大笔学费，更带活周围租房、餐饮

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跳槽才是涨工资最好的方法，忠诚税很高

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跳槽 涨工资 跳槽 涨工资 无限循环

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跳槽才是涨工资的王道  忠诚不能当饭吃

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经济这么差，公司不裁员已经很不错了

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好像真的没见过工资增长不失望的。

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现在4大银行的小员工都是2-3%年增长而已

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大选完了再看财长们怎么说吧

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要是没有中国人狂消费，绝对是负增长。
看看chadstone里中国人都拎着LV，Gucci的袋子，其他人都拎着cotton on...


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财长说过，穷人不开车，能省很多钱，还可以去塔斯马尼亚摘葡萄挣外快

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工资增长有令所有人满意过的时候吗

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几时不失望

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加工资肯定会给加更多的活，老板还心理不平衡，只有跳槽才是涨工资最好的方法，当然，前提是你手里有没有活

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帮朋友请教一下，IT入门起步，然后每年工资都是涨一万，该跳槽吗？
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