在新西兰
Skyrocketing SuperCity prices are starting to spread outwards – thanks to Aucklanders buying away from home.
By Miriam Bell
Two new sets of data – from QV and Trade Me Property - provide evidence that Auckland’s supercharged housing market is starting to impact on nearby regions.
The latest QV House Price Index shows that Tauranga, Hamilton and the Western Bay of Plenty are seeing rising house values.
In Tauranga average house values were up by 7.3% year on year, while in Hamilton they were up by 4.4% year on year.
QV national spokesperson Andrea Rush said that large numbers of Aucklanders were flocking to buy property in those areas and this was leading to the rising values.
“There are reports that of those present at open homes in Tauranga, as many as 60% are regularly from Auckland, while around 15% of all buyers in the Hamilton market are now from Auckland.”
QV’s Hamilton valuer Chris Price confirmed that 15% of Hamilton sales are Aucklanders.
“They are either using the equity to buy investment properties or are selling up and moving here as they can get more bang for their buck.”
Price said Cambridge was following the upward trend of Hamilton, with local agents reporting that approximately 10% of purchasers are from Auckland.
In Tauranga, there was very strong demand from out of town buyers, with approximately 60% of open home attendees now from Auckland, QV’s Tauranga valuer David Hume said.
“There has been significant demand and increasing property values across Tauranga and the Western Bay of Plenty over the past three months.
“Homes in Tauranga and Papamoa are now selling much more quickly than they have for several years and value levels are now considered to be at or above the 2007 peak.”
Hume said the situation had created a degree of panic for local buyers not wanting to get priced out of the market.
“The $300,000 to $500,000 sector of the market is seeing the biggest demand, which is also fuelled by historically low interest rates.”
In the Western Bay of Plenty, Hume said the market was strengthening, sales volumes were up across the board and buyers were coming from far and wide.
Further evidence of the “Auckland effect” comes in new Trade Me Property asking price data released to landlords.co.nz.
Based on asking price expectations, the Waikato saw an increase of 3.3%, the Bay of Plenty saw an increase of 5.1% and Northland saw an increase of 8.5% in the year to May 2015.
Head of Trade Me Property Nigel Jeffries said the trend in average asking price for properties in Waikato, the Bay of Plenty and Northland had been an upward one recently.
“It is hard to tell yet if these regions will benefit from a property price increase ‘creep’ from Auckland, but there are some signs of this.”
For example, the Bay of Plenty had particularly strong asking price growth over the past nine months and reached new record highs
Since September 2014, the Bay of Plenty’s average asking price had increased by nearly $25,000 to hit $432,350 in May.
Sales activity was another important factor to consider as prices tend to follow shifts in sales volume, Jefferies continued.
REINZ sales data showed that Waikato, Bay of Plenty and Northland witnessed much stronger sales activity over the past six months.
He said the data showed all three regions had gained sales volumes, as a proportion of national sales, in recent times.
Meanwhile, the managing director of Hamilton’s largest real estate agency, Lodge Real Estate, has also noted greater numbers of Auckland investors jumping into the city’s property market.
Jeremy O’Rourke said that, due to Auckland’s record house prices, owners had a larger asset base to borrow against.
“We’re seeing them take advantage of this new-found wealth and using borrowed funds to get into property investments here in Hamilton.”
This was beneficial for local sellers because Auckland investors were often willing to pay more for Hamilton properties as they saw them as a “good deal” - relative to similar properties in Auckland.
Auckland investors were particularly active in the lower end of the Hamilton market and this was impacting on both supply and sales times, O’Rourke added.
http://www.landlords.co.nz/article/5427/auckland-effect-starts-spreading
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朋友们，行动吧。 外地房价上涨还处在非常early stage, 等到它们年均涨幅达到两位数以上再去就来不及了。
虽然外地不适合长期投资， 但炒一把， 赚点快钱还是可以的。
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我发现Lease大哥每次发帖都在早晨，看来＂早起的鸟儿有虫吃＂这句话真是没错啊．
我比较奇怪，理论上不是离奥克兰越近，受到的＂波及＂越快吗？怎么从数据看来，Tauranga 开始快速拉升还早于Hamilton，甚至幅度上也更大，是Tauranga有什么Hamilton没有的优势吗？我能想到的就是Tauranga有海滩，旅游的人比较多，可是这和买投资房有关联么？难道这些房子是打算租给游客的？
我看了下TM，Tauranga的房价和蛤蟆屯比也不便宜啊，从投资的角度来讲，这不是讲不通嘛？
回想一下，身边也的确有朋友今年元旦的时候就已经去Tauranga 看房了，有些人看来真是先知先觉啊，不得不佩服．
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嗯， 每天基本上6点就起床了。晚上嘛， 除了周末，基本上不到10点就睡了。
不知道为什么Tauranga比Hamilton涨幅大， 但外地catch up是明显的。
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不少kiwi养老都去Tauranga, 或者在那边有holiday house
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tauranga是很多人养老的圣地，多少奥克兰年纪大的人现在在卖方去那里退休啊。。。
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Tauranga有山有水，洋人喜欢海上活动，养船成本也低很多。不工作的话比hamilton好。
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必须杀向 Tauranga
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投资还是奥克兰，偏远地方人口稀少，年轻人流失，老龄化严重，新移民一般都选择留在奥克兰。被高房价逼走的只有一小撮人。生活机能，基础设施，教育医疗，商业资源，奥克兰要强太多了。每年涨幅，奥克兰都远高于其它城市，有些城市甚至出现下跌。即使这些城市房价有所上涨，将来变现很困难，因购买人群狭窄，面临有价无市的尴尬境遇。如果遇到行情不好的时候，房子不好出租，一年房子都卖不掉，价格也大打折扣。综合来看，奥克兰相对涨幅高，风险小。小城市房产投资，一般投资客自住客须谨慎考虑。
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你没看到我说是“炒一把”就走嘛， 又不是长期投资。
现在是牛市， 奥克兰效应扩散到了外地， 乘着这东风炒一下赚点快钱。
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关键是每个人都是这么想的，就看谁接最后一棒了，现在这些小城市的屋主都在等着这波行情解套搬回奥克兰呢。
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放心吧， 现在去绝对不会接最后一棒，这轮牛市还会有2-3年。外地的房价还属于刚起步阶段。
信不信由你啦， 反正我刚开始说些什么的时候， 总是引来不少的质疑。等到后来证实我是正确的时候，通常已经too late to catch up.
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我明白你的意思，问题是小城市房产流动性太差，很容易套牢。
其实有实力的投资商过去有钱赚，洋人开发商更容易赚到钱，他们可以大面积开发高档社区，因为地价便宜景色好，可以吸引洋人家庭。单纯华人散户过去买个房hold着等增值卖给下家变现太难了。
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你啊， 经历得太少。应该是这两年才开始买房的吧。
你Lease哥已经经过两个完整的cycle了，人性是不变的， 所以炒家的行为也没啥变化，想赚钱就需要顺着炒家的心理，行动的踪迹去做。
等到这轮牛市结束了， 你回头再看吧， 看你一个散户， 现在如果进场外地房产的话， 到底赚不赚钱！
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搬得回来吗？
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我确实是新移民，对那些小城市真的没信心，人实在太少了，万一哪天这些小城市突然消失了我也不觉得意外。
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所以说套牢了
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要相信Lease大哥
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是的，现在在hamilton 买投资房，如果不是auction,很多都是一上市就是multi-offer.
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你说的属实。奥克兰投资者半年前已经开始涌入哈密尔顿和淘郎嘉。有远见的人早已经行动了，犹豫不决的人总是慢一拍。Lease说的对，两年后再看。那时在那里买了投资房的和没买的会是两种截然不同的心情吧。
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看看屯里人都在讨论啥:
http://China2au/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=3025440&mobile=yes
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从现金流角度奥克兰已经很难找到5%投资回报了（公寓除外）。汉密尔顿的投资房很容易找到5%甚至更好回报率。政府的移民政策，30%的equity银行贷款限制，以及两年房产买卖缴税政策都是对奥克兰以外地区房市的利好。小地方生活成本低，会吸引大城市分流的人口。人口增长，房价势必也会增长。资本的嗅觉是很灵敏的。。。一些中小投资者已经去那里打前站了。
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Thanks for sharing................................................
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谢谢分享相信lease大哥
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http://m.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11487255. 政府出台新政，鼓励更多移民去奥克兰以外的地方。
Changes
• Bonus points for residency applications raised from 10 points to 30 points for skilled migrants who settle outside Auckland.
• Bonus points raised from 20 points to 40 points for entrepreneurs planning to settle outside Auckland.
• Labour market test for migrants streamlined to give employers more certainty.
• 600 long-term migrants on temporary visas in the South Island given pathway to residence.
• New "global impact visa" to encourage young tech entrepreneurs.