新西兰ZT: Housing boom has two years to run
在新西兰
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/busine ... p;objectid=11626366
The Economy Hub: Housing boom has two years to run
Auckland's property boom looks set to run on for at least two years according to investor and commentator David Whitburn.
Speaking on The Economy Hub's housing affordability special Whitburn said a combination of interest rates staying lower long term combined with record high migration and chronic under building meant there was at least a couple of years growth in the Auckland market.
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Co-panelist, Auckland City council chief economist, Chris Parker agreed there was no immediate sign of the soaring price abating.
Both Whitburn and Parker see supply as the fundamental problem for Auckland's market although both see demand side solutions like mortgage lending restrictions as useful tools in the short term.
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"I was hoping that they had leveled out but recent data shows were in the same pattern, the same place we were a year ago."
Both Whitburn and Parker see supply as the fundamental problem for Auckland's market although both see demand side solutions like mortgage lending restrictions as useful tools in the short term.
"We need more terraced houses and more apartments at lower prices," Whitburn, who is managing director at Fuzio Projects, says.
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冲的越高，跌的越快，投资理财，顺势而为。
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预测再涨两年还算合理吧？不是说还有6年才崩盘吗？哈哈
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真能预测准章加敦早就成仙了。
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骗纸。。。。。。。。。。。
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崩盘不至于吧 微调肯定会有的 尤其是以后加息了 还贷压力变大 估计房价会松动的
不过目前趋势加息不太可能 所以房价还要向上走走 他们是这意思吧。。。。
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这得看移民政策吧，目前大部分移民都是带着钞票来的，如果哪天移民局说每年几万的移民名额缩减到几千，那房价就真的要跌了。靠本地人自己很难把房价一直推高的。
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印度人菲律宾的目前来的多，他们没有什么钱，英国和南非的我认识的也不少，都是年轻人多，也没钱，中国和欧洲移民有钱的人多
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很多移民可能在新西兰住了很多年才申请移民，还有那些根本就没来的，但一直通过中介机构汇钱来操作的。我公司每年从英国和澳洲拿到的换汇份额非常大，很多资金都是流进房地产。如果把英国，澳洲和新西兰的资金流动比成中国的北上广和二线三线城市的房市资金流动就很容易理解。新西兰的房地产投资市场在英国人澳洲人看起来还远远没饱和。而08年新西兰房地产危机时，大量资金从我公司汇出新西兰境外，去年也有一段时间出现这样的情况，不过后来就马上稳定了。